Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonterra The McNab McNab Ranch Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenwing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $79.99 $84.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luchador Tempranillo Calatayud 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Cabernet Sauvignon Central Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| All Time Low Presents English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Las Campanas Garnacha Navarra 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Avene Langhe Nebbiolo 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirassou Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2013 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jam Cellars Butter Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tulip Winery Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.53 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Ole Smokey Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 $22.49 Sale | ▲ 2.3% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Browne Family Vineyards Tribute Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudline Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Zinfandel Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Adams County Winery Rebel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Nueva Tempranillo Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Post and Vine Testa Vineyard Old Vine Field Blend Mendocino 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocca Torri d'Oro Primitivo di Manduria 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silverado Vineyards SOLO Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voliero Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds St. Henri Shiraz Australia 2020 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $44.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Billard Pere et Fis Pommard 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.79 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden West Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pasaeli 6N Karasakiz Aegean Turkey Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intrinsic Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red Wine California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $480 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hedges Family Estate Red Mountain Estate Red Wine 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Select Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Zinfandel Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Alta Vista Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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