Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 2% premium | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Beringer Main and Vine Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cafaggio Basilica Solatio Chianti Classico Riserva 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Nauds Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Bousquet Cotes De Bourg 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Chardonnay Tupungato 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hentley Farm Villain and Vixen Grenache Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Hot Pink Sweet Rose Blend rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orgo Rkatsiteli Dry Amber Wine Kakheti Georgia 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salcheto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seaglass Sauvignon Blanc Santa Barbara white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Superiore Riserva Romagna red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Orange Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | 2% premium | 2% |
| Bodegas Muriel Rioja Crianza 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Terres Blanches Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dressage Pinot Noir Monterey County 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Mitolo Jester McLaren Vale Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Modern Blush York County rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pighin Pinot Grigio Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $9.43 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Principato Pinot Grigio Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Santa Julia Organic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| University Wine Company Spring Break White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ameztoi Getariaka Txakolina Rubentis 2024 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudveil Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Orange Vin de France 2024 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cremaschi Furlotti Reserva Carmenere Loncomilla Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ercole Piemonte Rosato 2021 rosé · Piedmont · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ercole Piemonte Rosato 2020 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grain de Lune Sauvignon Gris Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kotrotsos Moschofilero Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Chardonnay Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| O Organics Organic Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Ruhlmann Fleur de Printemps Muscat Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Sherry Dry dessert · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Varichon et Clerc Privilege Rose Savoie rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Riesling 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Box Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Canoe Ridge The Expedition Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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