Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonny Doon Le Cigare Volant Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Pommery POP Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▼ 7.4% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Carlo Rossi Moscato Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 36% below | 1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Lab Reserva Tinto 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 36% below | 4% |
| Board Track Speed Racer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Pio Cesare L'Altro Chardonnay Langhe 2018 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Bootstrap Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 2% |
| Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Formula One Gift Pack sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2023 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Piccini Poggio Alto Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Domaine Passy le Clou Petit Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Deadeye Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Taittinger Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35% below | 1% |
| Dios Baco Ria Pita Manzanilla Sherry dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Roger d'Anoia Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 2% |
| Rose's Lime Juice rosé · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 26.9% | 35% below | 3% |
| Bodega Garzon Tannat Reserva Uruguay 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine Saint Laurent Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Laetitia Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Les Hauts Plateaux Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Rose NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Chateau Graulet Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 35% below | 3% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Torre Mora Cauru Etna Rosso 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Charles Krug Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 35% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Reserve Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.3% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Cailhol Gautran Gamin Minervois Rouge 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Trivento White Malbec Reserve Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Zonin Winemakers Collection Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 35% below | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Cabernet Franc 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Club Tawny Port Australia dessert · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
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