Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Bonny Doon Le Cigare Volant Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$12.99——36% below<1%
Pommery POP Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$24.99▼ 7.4%—36% below<1%
Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Carlo Rossi Moscato Sangria
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%36% below1%
Casa Santos Lima Lab Reserva Tinto 2020
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$9.99——36% below1%
Franzia Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 0.0%▲ 4.0%36% below4%
Board Track Speed Racer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Pio Cesare L'Altro Chardonnay Langhe 2018
white · Piedmont · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—36% below<1%
Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—36% below<1%
La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2021
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Bootstrap Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.73 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below2%
Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Formula One Gift Pack
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below1%
La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2023
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$9.99——36% below1%
Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—36% below<1%
Piccini Poggio Alto Toscano Rosso 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.99——36% below1%
Domaine Passy le Clou Petit Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Provenance Vineyards Deadeye Red Blend Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Taittinger Champagne Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$66.99 0.0%▲ 21.8%35% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Vineyard 29 Cru Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0% 0.0%35% below1%
Dios Baco Ria Pita Manzanilla Sherry
dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below1%
Roger d'Anoia Brut Cava
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.73 $10.39 Clearance 0.0%—35% below2%
Rose's Lime Juice
rosé · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.49 $8.49 Sale▲ 6.3%▲ 26.9%35% below3%
Bodega Garzon Tannat Reserva Uruguay 2020
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Domaine Saint Laurent Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$44.99——35% below1%
Laetitia Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo Coast 2021
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Les Hauts Plateaux Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—35% below1%
Sun Goddess Prosecco Rose NV
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—35% below6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%35% below17%
typically +11% if it rises
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$60.99 0.0%—35% below1%
WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Chateau Graulet Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 6.7%35% below3%
Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2021
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Torre Mora Cauru Etna Rosso 2019
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Charles Krug Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%▲ 17.7%35% below6%
typically +5% if it rises
Billecart Salmon Champagne Reserve Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$36.99 0.0%▲ 23.3%35% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Domaine Cailhol Gautran Gamin Minervois Rouge 2023
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—35% below1%
Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2022
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Trivento White Malbec Reserve Mendoza 2024
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—35% below1%
Zonin Winemakers Collection Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99——35% below9%
typically +12% if it rises
Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—34% below<1%
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—34% below1%
Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Cabernet Franc 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—34% below<1%
Penfolds Club Tawny Port Australia
dessert · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—34% below8%
typically +8% if it rises
401–450 of 9,968← PreviousNext →