Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Signed by Charles Woodson red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Spring Gate Sweet White Pennsylvania white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Port First Estate dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Meiomi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sherwood Estate Sauvignon Blanc Waipara Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 38% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Les Legendes Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stony Run Winery Viognier Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 32.0% | 32% premium | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| The Federalist Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fantinel Borgo Tesis Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% below | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Pertico Pinot Grigio Alto Adige white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 7% below | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| ICON Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| ICON Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | 29% below | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Allegrini Palazzo della Torre Veronese Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Liquid Death Severed Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Heritage Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Seaglass Sauvignon Blanc Santa Barbara white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Orange Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hikari White Plum Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Morning Fog Chardonnay Livermore Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Sweet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jug and Barrel Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ohla White Catalunya Alcohol Removed white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cook's Brut sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 13% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Risata Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mumm Napa Cuvee M red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bistro Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Les Infusions de Villa Noria Organic Blanc de Noirs Pet Nat white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Lohr Flume Crossing Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fetzer Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Torre Oria Pinot Noir Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Stationmaster Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
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