Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banfi La Pettegola Vermentino Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Italian Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 2.3% | 30% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Sparkling White sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale White Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Banfi San Angelo Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 13.9% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bantu Cannonau di Sardegna 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bar Dog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bar Dog Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.83 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bar Dog Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Moscato Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.83 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 4% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 39% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | 4% |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
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