Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyard Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gamble Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jarvis Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau et Filles Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.59 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Okfener Bockstein Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Ried Kremser Thurnerberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019 white · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes En Beauregard Cote de Nuits Villages Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 1500 ml | $86.93 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2011 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Lazy River Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.53 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merryvale Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.03 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Chardonnay Green Acres Hill Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Mehringer Alte Reben Riesling Mosel 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Auslese 2018 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $58.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mt Harlan Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cornerstone Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Farina Vineyard Sonoma Mountain Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Caibourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Patrick Giboulot La Morand Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $33.59 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
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