Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hebrart Brut Rose Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 $69.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Waris Hubert Lilyale Blanc de Blancs Zero Dosage Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bailly Lapierre Cremant de Bourgogne Rose sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Sleigh All Day Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Paul Cheneau Lady of Spain Brut Cava Penedes sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bartenura Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 9.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Herzog Lineage Momentus Sparkling White Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Roederer Blanc de Blanc Champagne 2017 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Stefania Zaporizhia Sparkling Semi Sweet Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brilla Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Veuve Fourny Blanc de Blancs Extra Brut Vertus 1er Cru Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weingut Heid Steinmergel Rose Sekt Trollinger Brut Wurttemberg sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | ▼ 4.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Parini Prosecco Rose Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pol Roger Brut Champagne 2018 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Mauro Molino Barbera d'Asti Leradici 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stefania Kharkiv Sparkling Semi Dry Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Wolf Sparkling Pinot Noir Rose Pfalz sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | 4% |
| Thienot Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Baptiste Adam Cremant d'Alsace Brut Rose sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Piper Sonoma Brut sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 53.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Angels and Cowboys Brut Methode Traditionnelle California sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cellers Kripta Trepat Rosat Cava 2021 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Ca Dei Zago Valdobbiadene Prosecco Col Fondo sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Gruet Sparkling Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Burgenland 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pares Balta Pink Brut Cava de Garda sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Gelida Brut Gran Reserva Cava 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Francois Merieau J'ose Les Fines Bulles Brut Touraine 2019 sparkling · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Ice Imperial Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cook's Brut sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 13% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Carneros Brut sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.2% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Roscato Moscato Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Champagne Millesime 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Henriot Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bertrand Delespierre Enfant de la Montagne Brut Champagne Montagne de Reims 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 19% typically +8% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Asti Spumante sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chaya Moscato d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Vignerons de Mancey Cremant de Bourgogne Brut Reserve sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 15.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dr L Sparkling Riesling NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mionetto Alcohol Removed Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 1% |
| Bartenura Moscato Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 17% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| La Miraja Le Masche Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2018 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Pharrell Nectar Imperial Rose Demi Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gruet Sparkling Demi Sec sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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