Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Altane Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Carusu Etna Rosso 2015 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | <1% |
| Schlink Haus Dornfelder Nahe 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Frutos Villar Muruve Tinta de Toro Roble Toro 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Family Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | <1% |
| Marques de Riscal Arienzo Rioja Crianza 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Reverence Merlot Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 24% below | 1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 24% below | 5% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 24% below | 4% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | 1% |
| Domaine Clavel Regulus Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Sherwood Estate Pinot Noir Waipara Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | 24% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas Vinus Clairette du Languedoc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | 1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 24% below | 5% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Top Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 10.0% | ▼ 18.2% | 24% below | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas Vinus Clairette du Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.99 $54.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | 23% below | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Vistalba Corte C Mendoza Tinto 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Cafaggio Basilica Solatio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet Cotes de Bordeaux Reserve 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 3% |
| Tomasello Winery Broomstick Brew Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 5% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Madurado 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.13 $77.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | 22% below | 4% |
| Villa San Juliette Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 22% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Rouge Swartland 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Quivira Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Cardwell Hill Cellars Estate Bottled Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Primaterra Pinot Nero delle Venezie 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Imagery Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
401–450 of 5,705← PreviousNext →