Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$91.99——Fairly priced5%
typically +35% if it rises
Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$135——Fairly priced5%
typically +35% if it rises
Predator Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.79 $19.79 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced5%
typically +8% if it rises
The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend Mendocino
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Zinfandel Mendocino
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
The Federalist Zinfandel Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99▼ 5.0%▲ 5.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Rodney Strong Pinot Noir Russian River Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$26.99 0.0%▲ 17.4%Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Block Nine Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +7% if it rises
Spellbound Petite Sirah
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced5%
typically +8% if it rises
The Federalist Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%—20% premium5%
typically +4% if it rises
Willamette Valley Vineyards Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$180▲ 12.5%—Fairly priced5%
typically +36% if it rises
Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%12% premium5%
typically +8% if it rises
Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Pinot Noir Russian River Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced5%
typically +8% if it rises
Chateau Saint Sulpice Bordeaux Rouge
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99▲ 1.0%▲ 5.3%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Riunite Blackberry Merlot
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99▲ 1.0%▲ 17.7%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$51.99——51% below5%
typically +36% if it rises
Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$275——Fairly priced5%
typically +36% if it rises
Rodney Strong Merlot Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 15.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Bolla Amarone Della Valpolicella Classico
red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99▲ 0.2%▲ 8.7%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%47% below5%
typically +8% if it rises
Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Reserve
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$52.99 0.0%▲ 6.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +8% if it rises
Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▼ 2.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Proprietary Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▼ 2.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Barefoot Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Barefoot Pinot Noir
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Barefoot Rich Red Blend
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Barefoot Sweet Red
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Michael David Winery Red Blend Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.03 $13.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.9%30% below5%
Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▲ 9.4%Fairly priced5%
Cecchi Sangiovese Toscana
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 38.5%Fairly priced5%
Courtyard Winery Twisted Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 $11.39 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.6%38% below5%
Beringer Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▲ 9.4%Fairly priced5%
Terras Do Grifo Douro Red Wine
red · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.99 $24.99 Sale▲ 25.0%—97% premium5%
Butternut Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99▼ 5.6%—Fairly priced5%
Marques de Riscal Rioja Reserva
red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%▲ 5.3%Fairly priced5%
Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$54.99 0.0%▲ 22.2%Fairly priced5%
Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▲ 34.6%48% below5%
Don Miguel Gascon Malbec Mendoza
red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced5%
La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale▲ 2.7%▲ 25.0%14% below5%
Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced5%
Trapiche Broquel Malbec
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced5%
The Dreaming Tree Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.9%Fairly priced5%
The Dreaming Tree Crush Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.9%5% premium5%
The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.9%Fairly priced5%
Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$39.99 0.0%▲ 48.2%Fairly priced5%
Erath Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced5%
Sterling Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$27.49 $29.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced5%
MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$31.99 0.0%▲ 23.1%Fairly priced5%
401–450 of 5,705← PreviousNext →