Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavit Collection Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chasing Rain Red Mountain Merlot 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malbec Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franciscan Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Freixenet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Game Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Insurrection Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Le Paradou Rolle IGP Mediterannee 2024 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Scacciadiavoli Spoleto Trebbiano Spoletino 2019 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Path Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Twisted Cedar Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Syrah Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Sparkling Mendoza Brut Rose sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arrumaco Verdejo white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1% premium | 1% |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Butternut Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | ▼ 5.6% | — | 1% premium | 1% |
| Courtyard Winery Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Hook or Crook Heritage Chardonnay Lodi 2023 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel 2025 white · 1000 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Frenchtown Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Achaia Cellars Agiorgitiko Nemea Greece Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Bubbly Rose Wahluke Slope rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave and Cove Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau La Graviere White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos de los Siete by Michel Rolland Red Blend Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Chardonnay white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dupuy de Lome Bandol Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francois Paquet Selection Beaujolais Nouveau 2025 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Bianco Biologico white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| High Note Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House of the Dragon Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Conte Villa Prandone Zipolo Marche Rosso 2015 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Noir Wines OPP Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penya Viognier Cotes Catalanes 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quail Oak Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Recanati Yasmin Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvatore Molettieri Apianum Fiano di Avellino 2019 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vint by Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.95 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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