Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tania and Vincent Careme Spring Vouvray 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +4% if it rises |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Chemarin P'tit Grobis Beaujolais Villages 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexana Terroir Series Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon California Bourbon Barrel Aged red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% premium | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Catena Appellation La Consulta Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mayu Pedro Ximenez Valle de Elqui 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert Red Blend California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Portlandia Big Believer Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Four Graces Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yalumba Y Series Shiraz South Eastern Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.93 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Majo Norante Sangiovese Terre degli Osci 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Cras Chambolle Musigny 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rimbert Vin Orange Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Nerthe Les Cassagnes Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Rosso di Montalcino 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Zinfandel Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Contraire Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de la Mulonniere Savennieres 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Bien Nacido Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| High Heaven Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Majestic Pines Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estates Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wapisa Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Red Blend red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.49 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Red Velvet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Sylvain Dussort Meursault Vielles Vignes 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Don Miguel Gascon Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Kosta Browne Gaps Crown Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Estate Pinot Noir Whole Cluster Willamette Valley Laurelwood District 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Mountain Red Blend Uco Valley Reserva 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Durigutti Bonarda Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Et Fille Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Januik Columbia Valley Merlot 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michael Frohlich Escherndorfer Silvaner QbA Franken Trocken 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $305 $310 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Piemonte Rosso 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bosman Family Vineyards Generation 8 Cabernet Sauvignon 2024 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l olivette Bandol 2018 red · Provence · 750 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feisty Zen Orange Blossom Grape and Honey Wine 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fritz Allendorf Assmannshauser Spatburgunder Rheingau Trocken 2019 red · Rheingau · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giacomo Mori Chianti 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maris Rouge Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
3,951–4,000 of 5,705← PreviousNext →