Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Pinot Gris Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Brut Cuvee sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vieille Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Chardonnay Casablanca Valley Gran Reserva 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Le Haut de la Roche Pouilly Fuisse Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Manischewitz Cream Red Concord red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monopole Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mulderbosch Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Robusta 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Pinot Gris Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raphael Sallet les Maranches Macon Uchizy 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT La Brisa Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $26.39 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yes Way Rose Bubbles Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| 2 Canos Cheerful Frizzante Blanco Peach and Apricot Le Mache white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Mistela Moscatel Alicante 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cavicchioli 1928 Prosecco Holiday Edition sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cosmopolitan Diva Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +22% if it rises |
| Cote Basque Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Ribera del Duero Tinto red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dixie and Bass Columbia Valley Red Blend 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.19 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emendis Nu Allonge Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| H3 Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 5.9% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Holiday Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kosmic Kitty Pinot Noir 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Pinot Grigio Colli Orientali del Friuli 2023 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Pink Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bucket List Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau des Cosse Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Confidencial Rose Lisboa Reserva rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Aligote Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Freelander Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gouguenheim Sparkling Mendoza Extra Brut Rose sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
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