Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurus Select Pinot Noir Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Secrets de Mar Blanco Terra Alta 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Secrets de Mar Tinto Terra Alta 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Txakoli Primo Rose Zarautz 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Jolanda Moscato Pineapple white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antler Ridge Winery Ashley Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Areyna Torrontes Cafayate Salta 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arrogant Frog Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Sparkling White Wine Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Decoy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Grande Bellane Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca PE Vinho Verde White 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grounded by Josh Phelps Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| LaLuca Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Bianco Emilia Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Madame Liberte Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penya Viognier Cotes Catalanes 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salcheto OBVIUS Toscana Rosso Unfiltered 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scotto Family Cellars Brut Rose California Sparklng Wine sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| SeaGlass Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Cranberry Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sutter Home Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | 1% premium | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Natural Blackberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Red Raspberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 1% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Yellow Tail Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Argillae Orvieto Superiore 2022 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barramundi Weekender White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Biutiful Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Briganti Pecorino Terre Di Chieti IGT white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cavit Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Diablo Hard Fire Red Blend 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ferrari Carano Fume Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
3,851–3,900 of 6,416← PreviousNext →