Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Larroque Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Benjamin Taillandier Laguzelle Minervois Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Reserve Bourbon Barrel Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Little Sheep of France Pinot Noir Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $19.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Crianza Garnacha Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha Y Toro Casillero del Diablo Merlot red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Merlot Apalta Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artevani Kindzmarauli Orshimo Ceramic 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boutinot Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc Box 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Alain Gras Saint Romain Rouge 2015 red · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leese Fitch Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Riserva 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Agitator Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cecchi Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau D?Arcins Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rebellious Pinot Noir California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Delfina Vineyard McMinnville 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Besson Le Petit Pretan Givry Rouge 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Marrans Les Marrans Fleurie 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Syrah Mendocino California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| All Time Low Presents English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Noir Mendocino County 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell'Etna Carusu 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Red Organic Spain 2021 red · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Deadly Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Antinori Antica Estate Townsend Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Coyam Red Blend Los Robles Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Tualatin Estate Tualatin Hills 2017 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ogier Artesis Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Radley and Finch the Profs Pinotage Western Cape 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baigorri Negu Rioja 2024 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Fleur Haut Gaussens Bordeaux Superieur Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $56.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gary Farrell Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Teso La Monja Romanico Toro 2023 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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