Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Bousquet Sauvignon Blanc Tupungato 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joannet Pinot Noir Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Seven Oaks Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Jules De Brut Blanc De Blanc San Luis Obispo County 2018 sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 337 Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Opera Prima Sparkling Bellini Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Piper Sonoma Rose rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sogno di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tilia Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Capvespre Sunset Red Catalunya red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carmel Winery Selected Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.74 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Carpineto Dogajolo Red Wine Toscano red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Charles Smith Sixto Uncovered Chardonnay 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Enchantoir Le Pied a l'Etrier Saumur Puy Notre Dame 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elios Modus Bibendi Bianco Terre Siciliane 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacquin's Creme de Cacao White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Lambrusco Rosso Emilia Romagna sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portillo Malbec Uco Valley 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Roaming Dog Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| All Time Low Summer Daze Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Infinito Jumilla 2017 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Ridgecrest Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello d'Albola Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Rose Cape Town 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominique Crochet Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2017 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Sweet Angel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Petite Sirah Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Trebbiano d'Abruzzo Biologico 2020 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosmic Kitty Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mumm Napa Brut Rose sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Aszu Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angeline Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bent Coast Chardonnay Santa Barbara County 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
3,801–3,850 of 9,968← PreviousNext →