Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Centerstone Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Tour Chapoux Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cook's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Trottieres La Pierre Couverte Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Estate 2023 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Durigutti HD Malbec Patagonia 2024 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleu Rose IGP Mediterranee 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lobster Reef Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.98 $14.24 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Riesling Grand Reserve Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2024 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineta Fontalpino Chianti Classico Fontalpino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.73 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Tenuta Sant'Helena Rocciaponca Pinot Grigio Collio 2024 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gigondas La Cave l'Hallali Gigondas Grand Reserve 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leth Gruner Veltliner Ried Steinagrund Wagram 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Syrah Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Bonacosta Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raw Bar Vinho Verde 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Red Crush red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Chardonnay Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Box Breeze Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau de Bligny Blanc de Blancs Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clotilde Legrand Les Terrages Saumur Champigny 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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