Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farmers Market Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 15.8% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Submission Cabernet Sauvignon California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| B R Cohn Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christopher Michael Red Blend Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Cristia Cotes du Rhone Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Placeres Sensoriales Tempranillo Maceracion Carbonica Rioja Joven 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Campogiovanni Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Red Wine Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durand Premices Cornas 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Matchbook Cabernet Sauvignon Red Gravel Dunnigan Hills 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricca Terra Bullets Before Cannonballs Red Blend Riverland 2020 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Azelia Dolcetto d'Alba Bricco dell Oriolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Carneros 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Mistral Joseph's Blend Single Vineyard Monterey County 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paitin Barbera d'Alba Serra 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trinchero Forte Napa Valley 2014 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.53 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos de L'Oratoire Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freakshow Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.5% | 11% premium | 1% |
| Morgan Cotes du Crow's Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feisty Buckwheat Blossom Sweet Mead 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 667 Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2018 red · Provence · 750 ml | $18.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truchard Cabernet Sauvignon Carneros Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Familia Escudero Solar de Becquer Gran Reserva Rioja 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Januik Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley signed by All Time Low 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antucura Barrandica Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Coeur de Terre Heritage Reserve Estate Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Pinot Noir Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lightpost Winery Ignition San Luis Obispo County 2018 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 20.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Crusher Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
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