Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbor Mist Strawberry White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Budureasca Wild Feteasca Neagra Romania Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Natural Origins Malbec Mendoza Box 2021 red · Mendoza · 3000 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chardonnay Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sweet Bitch Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Villa de Moreschi Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Sangria Blanco white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 9 is Enough Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Angelo Negro Unfiltered Bianco Italia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Carodorum Vino de Autor Tempranillo Toro Crianza 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bonnet Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Comtesse Marion Cinsault Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Educated Guess Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Let It Bee Pinot Noir Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harvest Ridge Winery White No 47 white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Scolca White Label Gavi di Gavi 2020 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| LaLuca Prosecco Rose 2024 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liquid Light Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Matthews Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paquet Montagnac Chardonnay Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Robert Willis Homestead Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serodes and Kovac Vallee des Aigles Cazot Orange Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Talosa Rosso di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Te Mata Estate Syrah Hawkes Bay 2019 red · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trapiche Malbec Mendoza Oak Cask red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Super Crisp Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Angelo Negro Unfiltered Rosso Italia 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Dark Malbec red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Do Epic SHT Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Tintero Langhe Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Directors Cut Cinema Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Dolcetto d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Game Box Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ghost Pines Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lustau Papirusa Manzanilla Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orlana Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Pink Moscato Sangria white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| Portell Cava Brut Rosado NV sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tomasello Winery Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
3,701–3,750 of 6,416← PreviousNext →