Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House of the Dragon Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicodemi Notari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Colline Teramane 2017 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 48.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Salcheto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners OG Yakima Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Pines Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.5% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Pali Wine Co Huntington Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Sincerity Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru 38 Barrels Jumilla 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos Sainte Anne Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Guicharde Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Easton Zinfandel Amador County 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray Demi Sec 2024 red · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Patriarch Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Narvaux Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kaiken Ultra Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Columbia Gorge 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tapiz Alta Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arnaud Combier Fleurie 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benziger Family Winery Pinot Noir Monterey red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz by Claude Gros Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Legendes Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% premium | 1% |
| Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Virtue Cellars Enthusiasm Grenache Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas m100 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Costes du Chateau Feret Lambert Bordeaux Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Pines Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manos Negras Stone Soil Malbec Paraje Altamire Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Malbec Uco Valley Reserva 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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