Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Lafayette Brut Blanc de Blancs Vin de France Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Chardonnay Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allan Scott Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2022 white · 750 ml | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kressman Monopole Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Rassi Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $29.09 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yealands Reserve Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 14 Hands Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi La Pettegola Vermentino Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Crianza Graciano Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliole Rubiolo Chianti Classico 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Zinfandel Lodi Old Vine red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Hallmark Channel Jingle Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Morgon Cote du Py 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Freres Bastards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Santa Julia Organic Malbec Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars The Magician Riesling Ancient Lakes 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Somos Cabernet Franc McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Surber Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $66.03 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stillman Street Chardonnay Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arnoux et Fils Vieux Clocher Symphonie des Galets Chateauneuf du Pape 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Oaks Cabernet Sauvingnon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.76 $11.53 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Generation III Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha Y Toro the Wine Malbec Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Eric et Joel Durand Premices Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gran Campo Viejo Cava Brut Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kunde Family Winery Chardonnay Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Beaune Theurons 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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