Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Mikael Boutin MB Rasteau Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Ferrand Cotes du Rhone Classique Mistral 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Le Dragon de Quintus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Smoking Loon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Rad Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vietti Castiglione Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Merlot Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dievole Vigna Di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erbeldinger Spatburgunder Rheinhessen 2018 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folly of the Beast Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Haut Bailly II Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Manciat Macon Charnay 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oko Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Muncagota 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Banshee Morning Light Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau de Montfort Vouvray red · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 25.0% | ▲ 66.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pere Caboche Elisabeth Chambellan Chateauneuf du Pape Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emerson Brown Ranch Pequeno Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Juice Asylum Il Terzo Grado Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allegrini Palazzo della Torre Veronese Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Mukhrani Rkatsiteli Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Molino di Grace Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Wing Blackberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Petrolo Torrione Val d'Arno di Sopra Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Purple Haze Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Pinot Noir Clarksburg 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Ronchi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Bourgueil Cuvee Alouettes 2024 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Baudana 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saxon Brown Pinot Noir Fighting Brothers Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora Di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Chauvet Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Croix du Casse Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Clos des Folatieres 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Cubillo Crianza Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $32.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
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