Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yarden Chardonnay Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Rich Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2023 white · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Herzog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Dry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ca Rome Barolo Cerretta 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Lalande Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| La Posta Tinto Red Blend Uco Valley Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette South West France Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomelado Natural Amber Tierra De Castilla 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | ▲ 2.0% | ▲ 20.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| XXL Moscato Mango white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Xumek Malbec Valle de Zonda 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| le Fat Bastard Syrah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2025 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Organic Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Luna Beberide Mencia Bierzo 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guadianeja Paraje Alto Hungrao Tempranillo Castilla la Mancha 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Casato Sauvignon Blanc Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Sultry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Muga Rose Rioja 2025 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Savage Grace Riesling Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Costa Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Albrecht Durer Nurnberger Gluhwein White white · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beau Vigne Juliet Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Breeze Dry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks Riesling Medium Dry OLN Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Downes Family Sanctuary Peak Sauvignon Blanc Elgin 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Dry Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Spencer Special Cuvee Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erath Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Martin Ray Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Qvevri Dry Amber Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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