Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollos Praise Cabernet Franc Picardie Finger Lakes 2024 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bitch Grenache Calatayud 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Rum Barrel Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Brittan Vineyards Pinot Noir Estate McMinnville 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Earthquake Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Lenz Moser Blaufrankisch Burgenland 2020 red · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Big House Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 8% premium | 4% |
| Castle Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Shiraz Cape Town 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Pinot Noir Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Bold and Jammy Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Frescobaldi Tenuta Perano Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Heitz Cellar Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.73 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kenwood Discoveries Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Albert Besombes Les Anges Pinot Noir Vin de France 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amador Medrano Irazu El Encinal Terra Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Shiraz red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | 9% premium | 3% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2023 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with 2 Flute Glasses Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Sangiovese El Dorado Sierra Foothills 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Primal Roots Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Breca el Nacido Garnacha Calatyud 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $92.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Lunatique Rouge Oregon 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.49 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden West Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Periquita Reserva Setubal 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de L'Aubrade Entre Deux Mers 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Viberti La Gemella Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Mere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Red Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Winery Syrah Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neil Ellis The Left Bank Red Blend Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 1924 Bourbon Barrel Aged Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 45.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Red Blend red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
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