Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrolabe Pinot Gris Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borealis Vintners Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Confidencial Reserva Red Blend Lisboa 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Demarie Luigi Arneis Vino Frizzante Bianco Roero Pet Nat 2020 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Castelnau Cuvee L'Etang Picpoul de Pinet 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.13 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino Art Collection Tempranillo Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gustave Lorentz Cremant d'Alsace sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Nozzole Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pagliarese Chianti Classico 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raeburn Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Riunite Moscato d'Oro white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.79 $19.79 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Salmon Run Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Otima Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Arrowood Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bouchard Aine et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave and Cove Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Larzac Saint Majan Languedoc Blanc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Seuil Chapelle du Seuil Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DFJ Portada Lisboa Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria del Pino Rosso di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Font Mars Cabernet Sauvignon Languedoc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Moschofilero Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.73 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koyle Cuvee Los Lingues Carmenere Colchagua Andres 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quadrum White Blend Spain white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Waterbrook Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 47% typically +3% if it rises |
| Baron Herzog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Petit Thouars Les Georges Chinon Rouge 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Pinot Gris Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Four Vines The Maverick Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jas des Vignes Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
3,551–3,600 of 9,968← PreviousNext →