Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nine Hats Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Huberts Cabernet Sauvignon The Stag Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Red Blend 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atilia Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018 red · Abruzzo · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clos de los Siete by Michel Rolland Red Blend Uco Valley 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Maximilien Cairanne Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 1500 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Chablis Blanc white · Burgundy · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ken Wright Cellars AVA Series Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moments del Montsant 2019 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sweet Cheeks Winery and Vineyard Vintage Riesling Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Xumek Syrah Valle de Zonda 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artezin Zinfandel Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock & Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butterfly Fields Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Riesling Feinherb Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas 4040 Red Blend Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Little Cricket Gruner Veltliner Pannon 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.43 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serre Romani En Embuscade Mourvedre Cotes Catalanes 2022 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles La Baume Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vinoterra Kisi Kakhetian Dry Orange Wine Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Chardonnay Vignetti delle Dolomiti 2023 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ballard Road Pinot Gris Oregon white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bryn Mawr Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dark Horse Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Pouilly Fuisse Grand Climats 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gd Vajra Barbera d' Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hentley Farm Villain and Vixen GSM Red Blend Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Cabernet Franc Colli Orientali del Friuli 2018 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomum Cellars Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Cascinetta Vietti Moscato d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Encina Tinto Elvi red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alki Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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