Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Napa County 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Chateauneuf du Pape 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Sfigato Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.99 | — | — | 38% below | 1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38% below | <1% |
| Mediteo Mediterranee Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Portlandia Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $11.39 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 38% below | 5% |
| MoonTree Syrah Pays d'Oc 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Johnson Estate House Red Lake Erie red · Lake Erie · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 38% below | 4% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Horse Heaven Hills 2020 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Papi Cabernet Sauvignon Demi Sec Central Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 37% below | 2% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Annick Bachelet Morgon Les Charmes 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Bodega Piedra Negra Alta Coleccion Organic Pinot Gris Uco Valley 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Vermentino 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Chardonnay Monterey County 2024 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Louis Dumont Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 $42.99 Sale | ▲ 7.5% | ▲ 30.3% | 37% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau du Pin Franc Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Parker Estate Cool Climate Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37% below | <1% |
| Benigna's Traminette 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Charles Krug Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% below | 2% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Horse Heaven Hills 2019 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Oak Grove Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.46 $8.93 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Lucky No 9 White Blend Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Porta Vita Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 37% below | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Capataz Tinto Alentejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Marlborough New Zealand Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| San Felo Maremma Sangiovese red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 37% below | 3% |
| Columbia Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Franzia Chillable Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 37% below | 3% |
| Louis Bernard Louis Cotes du Rhone Villages 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Mills Reef Winery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Sean Minor California Series Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Moscato d'Asti 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Northstar Walla Walla Red Blend 2015 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.45 $10.91 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Left Coast The Orchard Vineyard Pinot Gris Van Duzer Corridor 2022 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Summit View Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Special Select Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.01 $12.02 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
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