Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Krug Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 35% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Cailhol Gautran Gamin Minervois Rouge 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Trivento White Malbec Reserve Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Zonin Winemakers Collection Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 35% below | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Cabernet Franc 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Club Tawny Port Australia dessert · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Torre de Ermelo Albarino Rias Baixas 2021 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bodegas Valparaiso Romero de Aranda Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2020 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Riesling 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Moillard Grivot Chardonnay Macon Villages 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Mercer Bros Edge of Heaven Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Limited Lot Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | 34% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oronta White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 2% |
| A by Acacia Brut 2022 sparkling · 750 ml | $5.23 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Anne de Laweiss Collection Gewurztraminer Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Cafaggio Basilica San Martino Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Intensus Tinto Alentejo Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| San Felice Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Weinstock Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 34% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Ammunition Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 1% |
| Domaine Pitault Landry La Loge Bourgueil Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33% below | 2% |
| Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Manischewitz Cream Red Concord red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 33% below | 1% |
| Papi Sweet Red Demi Sec Central Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | — | — | 33% below | 10% typically +13% if it rises |
| Starr Hill Vineyard and Winery Bailey Road Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33% below | 2% |
| Domaine De La Petite Roche Chenin Blanc Anjou 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Marques de Riscal Rueda Verdejo white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | 33% below | 1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Boutillot Revelations d'Hubert de Bouard Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Giao Branco Vinho Verde 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $4.79 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Mas Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 1000 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 33% below | 1% |
| Charles Smith Vino Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Promis Entre Deux Mers 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33% below | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 27.7% | 33% below | 1% |
| Lungarotti Grechetto Umbria 2023 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| San Felice Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 1% |
| Frontera Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve White 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Primus The Blend Apalta 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 33% below | 1% |
| The Path Pink Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 2% |
| Black Pearl Chenin Blanc Swartland 2024 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 33% below | 1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Aime Roquesante Sauvignon Blanc Cotes de Gascogne 2019 white · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32% below | <1% |
351–400 of 6,416← PreviousNext →