Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Vins El Cep Pet Nat Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Winery at Wilcox Elk Country Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 25% below | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bostavan Pastoral Etulia Red Dessert Moldova dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Box Wize Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | ▲ 8.8% | 12% below | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | ▲ 1.6% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Carnival White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Pinot Grigio Vignetti delle Dolomiti white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sandeman Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 41.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Seven Daughters Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Antler Ridge Winery Diamond White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Game Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Game Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| LifeVine Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Reserva Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trivento Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Blackberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Blueberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Mango white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Strawberry and Grapes Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 9% typically +13% if it rises |
| Shabo PrimoSecco Semi Sweet Charmat Sparkling Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Angelo Negro Unfiltered Bianco Italia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Turtle Rock Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Janare Benevento Aglianico Campania red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Sweet dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Famiglia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Papi Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Rose Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| University Wine Company Lion's Roar Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars St Croix Semi Dry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paquet Montagnac Chardonnay Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ruffino Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ruffino Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres La Maldita Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
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