Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Gold Sparkling 2x750 mL Multipack sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Emilio Nessun Dorma Lambrusco di Modena sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vietti Tre Vigne Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Seaswept Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rivarose Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Blush sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| One Plus One Equals Three Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruinart Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cellers Kripta Bayanus Brut Nature Cava Split 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 375 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Sparkling Sweet Red sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | 1% |
| XXL Sparkling Moscato Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Martini and Rossi Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rene Geoffroy Expression Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Chollet Cremant de Bourgogne Brut sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moon Tree Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francis Coppola Sofia Brut Rose Monterey County sparkling · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Moncontour Methode Traditionelle Cremant de Loire Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Brut Natural Gran Reserva Cava 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruggeri Argeo Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Brut Golan Heights Israel 2022 sparkling · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bollinger Special Cuvee Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | ▼ 23.9% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Louis Roederer Collection 243 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Waris Larmandier Racines de Trois Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Croix des Vainqueurs Vouvray Brut Nonvintag sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 13.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz Australia 2022 sparkling · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Serra Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Banfi Rosa Regale White Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Drappier Carte d'Or Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Leelanau Cellars Cold Duck Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mirabello Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dom Perignon Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 | ▲ 1.8% | ▲ 64.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa Sparkling Cranberry sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Andre Jacquart Vertus Experience Extra Brut Blanc de Blancs Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Elmo Pio Sparkling We Are ZeRO Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +12% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vietti Tre Vigne Barbera d'Asti 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acinum Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.76 $13.52 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 1.5% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.99 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 24.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 9% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Willm Rose Pinot Noir Cremant D'Alsace Brut Methode Traditionelle sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
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