Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montes Cherub Rose Colchagua Valley 2024 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | 4% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Rose Peloponnese 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Casato Pinot Grigio Rose Delle Venezie rosé · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Autumn Frost Strawberry Rose Wine Spritzer rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Rose Peloponnese 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Rose of Sangiovese Columbia Valley 2024 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | 5% premium | <1% |
| Summer Water Bubbly Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Rosabella Langhe Rosato 2023 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Cyrgues Salamandre Costieres de Nimes Rose 2024 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Quail Oak Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Sokol Blosser Rose of Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Almaden White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lobetia Organic Garnacha Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Arrumaco Garnacha Vino de Espana Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Casal Garcia Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Acrobat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Nodus Bobal Rosado Utiel Requena 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fre White Zinfandel Alcohol Removed rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Blackwater Lazy Lucy Rose Grenache Swartland 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Morette Bardolino Chiaretto Classico Rosato 2020 rosé · Veneto · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Rose Niederosterreich 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Las Dichas Casablanca Valley 2025 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Rose California 2021 rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Calcada Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Rose Pinot Noir Napa Valley 2023 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Lafage Miraflors Rose IGP Cotes Catalanes 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Rose Central Coast 2021 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette Vin de France Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles 2022 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freixenet Ice Cuvee Rose Catalunya rosé · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Asconi Old Tavern Isabella Rose Moldova rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dupere Barrera En Caractere Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schmitt Sohne Relax Pink Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jas des Vignes Rose Alpes de Haute Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laroque Rose Cite de Carcassonne 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Fouquette Rose d Aurore Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aveleda Fonte Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| GD Vajra Rosabella Rosato Piemonte 2021 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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