Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bee You Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Poggio Anima Asmodeus Nero d'Avola Sicilia red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Poggio Anima Samael Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | 24% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Dolce Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Masi Costasera Amarone Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Black Box Dolce Semi Sweet Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Sangiovese red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bolla Valpolicella Veneto red · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.49 $37.99 Clearance | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat A Grown Up Stocking Stuffer Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Box Wize Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | 7% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Box Wize Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Castello Banfi Rosso di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.49 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 22.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | ▲ 2.0% | ▲ 20.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Blackberry Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | 27% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| MD 20 20 Banana Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.0% | 56% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Clos du Val Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ghost Pines Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.5% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Freakshow Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 13.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.99 $54.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | 23% below | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cribari Cellars Chianti red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dona Paula Estate Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| 7 Deadly Zins Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 14% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Baron Herzog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Adams County Winery Rebel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $87.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
351–400 of 5,705← PreviousNext →