Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Riviere Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Bousquet Cotes de Bourg 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Katie's Creek White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Riesling Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.13 $8.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| XXL Moscato Spain white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bar Dog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Champagne Charles Mignon Premium Reserve Brut NV sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Doisy Vedrines Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clay Shannon El Coyote Chardonnay Lake County 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Cape Coast 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Tascante Ghiaia Nera Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Sauvignon Blanc Central Otago 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arona Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $12.58 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2019 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biokult Naken Burgenland 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Holiday Rose Wine rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Unoaked Chardonnay Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominique Crochet Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $143 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Inzolia Terre Siciliane 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $2.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Limited Edition Double Black Red Blend Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavico Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chassagne Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.93 $97.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valenzano Red White and Blueberry Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Angeline Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Forest Project Paso Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Cabernet Franc Bourgueil 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabien Jouves Haute Cote de Fruit Malbec Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Furioso Vineyards Pinot Noir Trovato Vineyard Yamhill Carlton 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Les Baronnes Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Biologico 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,451–3,500 of 9,968← PreviousNext →