Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthera Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Spinelli Montepulciano Cannister red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Travaglini Nebbiolo Coste delle Sesia 2019 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aresca San Luigi Nizza 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron de Ley Tempranillo Reserva Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chevalier de la Cree Knights Templar Cuvee Pinot Noir Cote de Beaune 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Three Legged Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Epiphany Rodney's Vineyards Mourvedre Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Felsina Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga el Anden de la Estacion Crianza 2022 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Pearl Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Infinito Monastrell Jumilla 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato Reserve 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| H Luxury Collection by Havens Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kakhuri Gvinis Marani Semi Sweet Saperavi Kindzmarauli Pitcher Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Love and Squalor Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2023 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saronsberg Provenance Shiraz South Africa 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Sangiovese red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Citran Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Mendel Cabernet Sauvignon Lujan de Cuyo Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jam Jar Sweet Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Planeta Etna Rosso 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wapisa Malbec Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ampelaia Unlitro Costa Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 1000 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Whatever Valencia Crianza 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plungerhead Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sartori Love Story Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vale de Lobos Tejo Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Creative Juice Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Romuald Petit Roche Noire Morgon Beaujolais 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.13 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Dark Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hikari Red Plum Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
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