Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Sauvignon Blanc Robertson 2024 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Signae Montefalco Rosso 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Walnut Block Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Pure Bright Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Amboscato Sweet Red Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.33 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Scassa Barbera d'Alba 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barbera d'Alba 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocca delle Macie Moonlite White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Spring Gate Sweet White Pennsylvania white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Perricone Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terranoble Classic Chardonnay Valle Central 2018 white · 750 ml | $4.53 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Casablanca Valley 2021 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Petit Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Natural Origins Rose Mendoza Box 2021 rosé · Mendoza · 3000 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pelaquie Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermann Moser Love Over Money Green Eyes Gruner Veltliner 2024 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moletto Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Vina Tarapaca Carmenere Maipo Grand Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $7.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek Valley 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Box Wize Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Roubine Hippy Mevushal Rose Cru Classe IGP Mediterranee 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Mitsuko's Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2022 white · Provence · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine des Aubuisieres Brut Vouvray sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita Langhe 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasper James Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lornano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Resonance Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.93 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terre del Barolo Arnaldo Rivera Barolo Monvigliero 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2018 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Bombshell Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Benegas Estate Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Cabernet Franc Uruguay Reserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,401–3,450 of 9,968← PreviousNext →