Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| California Roots Pinot Grigio white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Luxe Brut Columbia Valley sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chehalem INOX Unoaked Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Enchantoir Le Pied a l'Etrier Saumur Puy Notre Dame 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Peau a Peau Vin Orange Vin de France 2024 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Freakshow Chardonnay Lodi 2021 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirassou Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Simple Life Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sommariva Prosecco di Conegliano Valdobbiadene Superiore Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Terra d'Oro Zinfandel Amador County 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wild Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antler Ridge Winery Diamond White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Apothic Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +7% if it rises |
| Arundel Cellars Young Love White Niagara Lake Erie white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega Renacer Punto Final Malbec Lujan du Cuyo Reserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Box Wize Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castle Rock Sauvignon Blanc California 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscasse Madiran 2017 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dila O Saperavi Kakheti Georgia 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Cuvee Selection Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Cassagnoles Reserve Selection Cuvee Gros Manseng Cotes de Gascogne 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fives Reserve Chenin Blanc Robertson 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Chardonnay Mendocino California 2023 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Cat's Eye White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mon Frere Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oko Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ridgeback Lion Hound Cabernet Sauvignon Paarl 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Piccolo Niederoesterreich 2018 sparkling · 187 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stony Run Winery Semi Sweet Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trumpeter Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Ice Wine Finger Lakes 2020 dessert · Finger Lakes · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benigna's Creek Delight Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bojador Red Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Breeze Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Pinot Grigio white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Craggy Range Sauvignon Blanc Martinborough Te Muna Road 2020 white · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Grenache Rose Paso Robles 2024 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Downes Family Vineyards Sanctuary Peak Sauvignon Blanc Elgin Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ercole Barbera del Monferrato 2020 red · Piedmont · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Malbec Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gilbert Cellars Left Bank Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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