Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Jeunesse Cabernet Sauvignon Semi Sweet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced5%
Jim Barry The Cover Drive Cabernet Sauvignon Coonwarra 2020
red · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jim Barry The Lodge Hill Shiraz Clare Valley 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joel Gott 815 Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Joel Gott Chardonnay Unoaked
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Joel Gott Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.49 $16.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Joel Gott Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie
white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.3%41% premium7%
typically +9% if it rises
Joel Gott Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.03 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 5.0%Fairly priced2%
Joel Gott Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Joel Gott Zinfandel
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.1%Fairly priced1%
Johnson Estate Freelings Creek Sweet Riesling Lake Erie Reserve
white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced1%
Johnson Estate House Red Lake Erie
red · Lake Erie · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0%▲ 20.0%38% below4%
Johnson Estate Ives Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%▲ 22.2%Fairly priced4%
Johnson Estate Lake Effect Red
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $21.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%33% below2%
Jorge Ordonez Botani Moscatel Old Vines Sierras de Malaga 2019
dessert · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—44% below1%
Jose Antonio Garcia Unculin Mencia Bierzo 2020
red · 750 ml
$6.73 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2022
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jose de Sousa Red Blend Alentejo 2017
red · 750 ml
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Carr Chardonnay Sonoma Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Joseph Jacome Morgon Rouge 2023
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Joseph Pascal Bourgogne Rouge 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—19% below<1%
Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.79 $20.79 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +5% if it rises
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 1.6%▲ 5.6%Fairly priced4%
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Hearth
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 5.6%—Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Reserve
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced7%
typically +8% if it rises
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Aged in Bourbon Barrels
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.89 $22.89 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.1%Fairly priced38%
typically +4% if it rises
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve North Coast
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.89 0.0%▲ 4.1%Fairly priced4%
Josh Cellars Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 2.4%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced3%
Josh Cellars Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Josh Cellars Chardonnay North Coast Reserve
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.53 $20.79 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%11% premium<1%
Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.45 $10.91 Clearance 0.0%—40% below1%
Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.45 $10.91 Clearance 0.0%—36% below1%
Josh Cellars Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 1.6%▲ 5.6%13% premium4%
Josh Cellars Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 9.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced4%
Josh Cellars Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▼ 4.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Josh Cellars Prosecco
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 7.3%▲ 11.8%Fairly priced4%
Josh Cellars Prosecco Rose
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 7.3%▲ 35.7%25% premium20%
typically +5% if it rises
Josh Cellars Red Wine Legacy
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 7.3%▲ 11.8%Fairly priced4%
Josh Cellars Reserve Bourbon Barrel Zinfandel
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.89 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +4% if it rises
Josh Cellars Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 9.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced2%
Josh Cellars Rose 2x750 mL Mulitipack
rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Josh Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 2.4%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced3%
Josh Cellars Seaswept Sparkling Wine
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99——Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Josh Cellars Seaswept White Blend
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale▲ 2.4%—Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Josh Cellars Sparkling Beverage Nonalcoholic
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +6% if it rises
Josh Cellars Zinfandel Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $18.99 Sale▲ 7.3%▲ 11.8%Fairly priced2%
Josh Scott Bla Bla Bla Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$12.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
3,401–3,450 of 6,416← PreviousNext →