Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Supery Elu Red Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arado Malbec Uco Valley Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cole Cellars Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck The Steading Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Merlot Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Merlot Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antichi Giochi Voulet Malvasia di Casorzo 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 6% premium | 4% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Plavac Mali Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eola Hills Patriot Red Blend Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Istine Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Almaden Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Vieille Cure Fronsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Rostaing Rene Rostaing Ampodium Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paul Dolan Vineyards Zinfandel Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Laclaverie Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.43 $36.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Water Wheel The Estate Red Blend Bendigo 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aichinger Roter Traminer Kamptal 2021 red · 500 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Vineyards Mt Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Offerus Saint Joseph Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chateau des Jacques Morgon Cru Beaujolais 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Monte Obispo Single Vineyard Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Noir Oregon 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivier Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Altamira Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Almaden Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Tour Saint Christophe Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Maison L Envoye Two Messengers Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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