Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Forca Real Schistes Cotes du Roussillon Villages 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2021 white · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Vineyards Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fonseca Porto Bin No 27 dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| George Vigouroux Gouleyant Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| H3 Merlot Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Freres Bastards Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +6% if it rises |
| Meiomi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +5% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ryder Estate Pinot Noir Cental Coast red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra Noble Carmenere Maule Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Rivers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artevani Kindzmarauli Pitcher Ceramic 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Santalba Rioja Alta Rose 2023 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgo San Nicola Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Delaforce Fine Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Xavier Frissant Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dressage Chardonnay Central Coast 2019 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House of the Dragon Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 1000 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Flume Crossing Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jeunesse Cabernet Sauvignon Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Crema Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette Vin de France Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Chardonnay York County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +13% if it rises |
| Santa Ema Chardonnay Leyda Valley Reserva 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terre Stregate Manent Aglianico Sannio 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Bros Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Carol Shelton Wild Thing Old Vine Zinfandel Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| De Loach Vineyards Chardonnay Edna Valley 2021 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Florysa Cheverny Blanc 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Infamous Gold Cabernet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.4% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pirapu Red Blend Jumilla 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Placido Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Portillo Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tres Buhis Nocturna Red Yecla 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Van Loveren Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Robertson Valley 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2020 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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