Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Aged in Bourbon Barrels Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.44 $10.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dark Horse Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Sainte Anne Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Trois Noyers Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Highflyer Centerline Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Papi Sauvignon Blanc Chile white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | ▲ 6.4% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Santa Ema El Cruce Select Terroir Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2024 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sokol Blosser Kalita Yamhill Carlton Pinot Noir 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Carusu Etna Rosso 2017 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Areyna Cabernet Sauvignon Lujan de Cuyo Mendoza Estate 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biodynamic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Alary Cairanne Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Chardonnay Monterey County 2023 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lone Birch Pinot Gris Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Malbec Central Valley red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| All Time Low Presents Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ant Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough Signature Series 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cherries and Rainbows Organic Sans Soufre Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Sangiovese red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dark Horse Big Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Italian Dreamer Pinot Grigio Friuli 2023 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Courtier Cremant de Bordeaux Brut sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Madria Moscato Sangria white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pendulum Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Periquita Rose Peninsula de Setubal 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Anima Belial Sangiovese Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sieur d Eguilles Coteaux d Aix en Provence Blanc 2024 white · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Thistledown Gorgeous Grenache Blanc South Australia 2024 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tiefenbrunner Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Otano Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| All Time Low Presents Summer Daze Rose Willamette Valley 2024 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Black Box Vibrant and Velvety Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega La Flor Pulenta Wines Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Mistela Giro Alicante 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Canyon Oaks Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.76 $11.53 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clara Benegas Chardonnay Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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