Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 9 is Enough Rosso Puglia red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Argento Single Vineyard Finca Altamira Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carlos Serres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Casas del Bosque Gran Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $19.49 Sale | ▲ 4.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $700 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Vigna di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupre Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Font Mars Picpoul de Pinet 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Cassagnoles Reserve Selection Cuvee Gros Manseng 2024 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Duplin Carolina Red Sweet Muscadine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skinner Native Rouge El Dorado 2022 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trumpeter Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canoe Ridge Explorer Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giacomo Fenocchio Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portia Tempranillo Ribera del Duero Roble 2021 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinos de Arganza Seculo Mencia Castilla y Leon 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Majo Norante Sangiovese Terre degli Osci 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Durigutti Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hareter Zweigelt Burgenland 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LifeVine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| MAN Family Wines Bosstok Pinotage Western Cape 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Metier Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plungerhead Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sella & Mosca Cannonau Riserva 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vespa Raccontami Primitivo di Manduria 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Winery Wilhelm Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Zilzie Shiraz Victoria 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Dolce Semi Sweet Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha Y Toro the Wine Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray Demi Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Our Daily Organic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 5% premium | 5% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Saperavi Tbilisi 2017 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Carteresses Tavel 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 5% premium | 5% |
| Herencia Respeto Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kir Yianni Naoussa Cuvee Village 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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