Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Pesquie Edition 1912M Ventoux Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Harvest Select Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau la Tour Blanche Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Geraudrie Clos de la Geraudrie Granite Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Vidal Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Grounded by Josh Phelps Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stoller Winery Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Valderiz Ribera del Duero 2020 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Box Wize Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau de Paillet Quancard Cotes De Bordeaux red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dark Horse Double Down Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis Vaucoupins 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manzanos Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michael David Winery Rose Lodi 2022 rosé · Lodi · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mylonas Assyrtiko Attika 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Ranch Reserve Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Berlucchi 61 Franciacorta Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bodegas CARO Amancaya Reserva Red Blend Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2019 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clay Shannon Betsy Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Winery Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corbett Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Creative Juice Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Nueva Tempranillo Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Carnival White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Henri Goutorbe Cuvee Prestige Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +10% if it rises |
| Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Ruhlmann Cuvee Mosaique Pinot Noir Alsace 2021 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Cabernet Sauvignon Trinidad Vineyard Single Block Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.84 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Anthony Road Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| El Coto Blanco Rioja white · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fleur Haut Gaussens Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 244 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Amadieu Roulepierre Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2024 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Real Nice Winemakers Into the Woods Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Salvatore Vetere Paestum Rosato Campania 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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