Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAN Family Wines Ou Kalant Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mas de Gourgonnier Les Baux de Provence Rouge 2019 red · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.79 $19.79 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau D?Emeringes Julienas 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Malbec Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.63 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Cape Town 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2018 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kermit Lynch Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Locations CA Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.03 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pian delle Vigne Rosso di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Valenzano Shamong Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Benjamin et David Duclaux La Germine Cote Rotie 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cortonesi Poggiarelli Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cycles Gladiator Merlot California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel en Aarde 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Pinot Noir Reserve 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rapido Sangiovese Puglia 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin Red Galilee 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2020 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.13 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas David Moreno Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| HALL Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ixsir Altitude Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Malbec Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Routestock Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes The Uprising Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $67.43 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin La Vialliere Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erbeldinger Weissburgunder Rheinhessen 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EthicDrinks Biodiversite Cabernet Franc IGP Pays d'Oc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Montes Twins Colchagua Valley Red Wine red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Guardoilvento Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Gold Rush Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Big Fire Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva Gran Terroir de los Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Culitos Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
3,151–3,200 of 5,705← PreviousNext →