Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trapiche Broquel Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Banfi Centine Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Canyon Road Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beauchene Grand Reserve Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $192 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Motte Maucourt Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clay Shannon Chardonnay El Coyote Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Natural Origins Unoaked Chardonnay Mendoza Box 2021 white · Mendoza · 3000 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupre Chardonnay Bourgogne 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elsa Bianchi Torrontes 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 242 Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ombremont Bourg Lachamps Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux de l'Ardeche 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Origine Vieilles Vignes Beaujolais Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Round Pond Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Straccali Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck the Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alain and Christophe Le Capitaine Cuvee Adrien Vouvray Demi Sec 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Athenaeum Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bucket List Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine du Cros Lo Sang del Pais Marcillac 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gustave Lorentz Brut Rose Cremant d'Alsace sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Gewurztraminer McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagaria Pinot Grigio Ramato Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2019 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $9.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leonard Kreusch Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Barrel Aged Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vendange Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | ▼ 8.3% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Vina Valoria Reserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zilzie Rose Victoria 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2024 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Sparkling Tupungato Brut Rose sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis De Grenelle Corail Saumur Brut Rose sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Orcia Sangiovese 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Single Post Riesling QbA 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Contraire Chardonnay Russian River Sonoma County 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Babich Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blackwater Lazy Lucy Rose Grenache Swartland 2021 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,101–3,150 of 9,968← PreviousNext →