Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| DAOU Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damien Martin Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine De La Petite Roche Saumur Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Le Coeur Languedoc Pezenas 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Let It Bee Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frassinelli Prosecco Valdobiadenne Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gunbun Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mumm Napa Brut Prestige sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nicolas Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Robert Hall Merlot Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruhlmann Cuvee Mosaique Pinot Noir Alsace 2023 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yalumba The Y Series Sangiovese Rose South Australia 2021 rosé · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biutiful Cava Brut Nature sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bixby Creek Bridge Sauvignon Blanc California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Petite Sirah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| California Roots Rose rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Castle Rock Pinot Noir Monterey County 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Rose 2024 rosé · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Enrico Serafino Grifo del Quartaro Gavi di Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Sauvignon Blanc Gran Reserva Casablanca Valley 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Terre Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
| Maison Saleya Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pendulum Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Sweet Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Promesa Tempranillo Rosado Castilla 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rabble Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Ruby Rose Grapefruit rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Rioja Crianza 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cuvee Suzanne Petillant Naturel Vin de France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Famille Dubard Le Rose Coeur du Mont Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Franciscan Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 30.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Greg Norman Estates Pinot Noir Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martini and Rossi Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Nicolas Idiart Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santo Wines Assyrtiko Santorini 2023 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 1 Plus 1 Equals 3 Brut Rose Cava Seleccio sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Capvespre Sunset White Catalunya white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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