Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolla Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Puech Redon Sensitive Vin de France Orange 2023 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cherries and Rainbows Organic Sans Soufre Vin de France Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cousino Macul Isidora Sauvignon Gris Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna Camurria Orange Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Font Mars Picpoul de Pinet 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Crasto DOC Red Douro 2017 red · Douro · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Resonance Founder's Blocks Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Unshackled Cabernet Sauvignon Santa Ynez valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Pinot Noir Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bottega Fragolino Rosso Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chloe Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.53 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jean Claude Mas L'Artisan Le Pinot Noir Pays dOc 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kir Yianni Paranga Red Macedonia 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.53 $73.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MAN Family Wines Bosstok Pinotage Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Autard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Lilith Primitivo Puglia red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria 2019 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 3% premium | 1% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Muriel Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kermit Lynch Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 3% premium | <1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Zinfandel Sonoma Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Lavish Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Prophecy Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Red Blend Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| University Wine Company Lion's Roar Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Aravail Red Blend Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Autumn Frost Blackberry Red Blend Wine Spritzer red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bodegas Obalo San Roque Rioja 2023 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clotilde Legrand Saumur Champigny Les Lizieres 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crios Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Malvira Roero Arneis 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi Riserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Nittany Tailgate Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stella Rosa L'Orginale Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Stella Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 19 Crimes The Banished Dark Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Arrumaco Tempranillo red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Bilbainas Vina Pomal Organic Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Syrah Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscasse Madiran 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino Nastagio 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,101–3,150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →