Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Y Camps Cava Brut Rose Non Vintage sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Marietta Cellars Old Vine Red Lot 72 California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Peters Champagne Cuvee de Reserve Blanc de Blancs Brut Grand Cru Non Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Quinta DE S Sebastiao Arreio Lisboa Reserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ca Furlan Cuvee Mariana Prosecco Rose Brut 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Eola Hills Winery Reserve Muscat Ottonel Wolf Hill Vineyard 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Esprit de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mussel Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pazo De Villarei Abadia Do Seixo Albarino Rias Baixas 2020 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piccini Sasso al Poggio Rosso Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rieslingfreak No 33 Reverence of Riesling Clare Valley Dry 2022 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Proprietary Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▼ 2.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Alamos Red Wine Blend Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodega Renacer Milamore Amarone Red Blend Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Verdicchio di Matelica 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavaliere d'Oro Gabbiano Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | ▲ 44.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gruet Blanc de Blancs Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Inscription Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Muirwood Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco Monterey 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region Rose 2022 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.83 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Oatley G 19 Grenache McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.83 $49.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ryan Patrick Redhead Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time Waits for No One Monastrell Jumilla 2016 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valdemar Inspiracion Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Riesling Kirchberg de Barr Alsace Grand Cru 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rose 2022 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Walter S Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Canyon Road Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Casa Natal Reserva Malbec Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2024 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Marie Weiss Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.03 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 sparkling · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mumm Napa Blanc de Blancs white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria 2017 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Reserva 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sealionne Kilig Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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