Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Couly Dutheil Chenin Blanc Chinon 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Blanco 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Altane Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lydian Alto White Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Rouge 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portillo Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.54 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Schmitt Sohne Sweet Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Maria Sauvignon Blanc Wairau Valley Reserve 2021 white · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Heritage Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| 111 Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 2 Canos Cheerful Frizzante Rose Strawberry and Coconut La Mache rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Andeluna 1300 Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Moscato Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Binyamina Moshava Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Phantom Chardonnay Clarksburg white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles and Charles Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clean Slate Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dark Horse Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Do Epic SHT Sparkling Brut Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Font Mars Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| FitVine Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gai'a Notios Agiorgitiko Syrah Peloponnese Greece Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jekel Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lunetta Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| M Chapoutier Belleruche Cotes du Rhone Blanc white · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mon Frere Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate Red Cap Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Prieur Domaine Saint Pierre Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pigtown Sweet White Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Winery Pinot Gris Willamette Valley Vineyard Select 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve des Hospitaliers Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storypoint Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Valo Sauvignon Blanc Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Red Blend Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alpha Estate Malagouzia Florina 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aravail Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Bubbly Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Growers Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave and Cove Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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