Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodega Renacer Repasso Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cune Blanco Rioja white · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dolly Pinot Noir California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eradus Ana Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Farrington Sauvignon Blanc South Africa 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Clare JC Nebbiolo 2021 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Italian Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Jam Jar Sweet Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White Upper Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sand Point Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| SeaGlass Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sella and Mosca La Cala Vermentino di Sardinia 2020 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Palm Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 689 Cellars Killer Drop Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Byron and Harold Rose and Thorns Shiraz Western Australia 2022 rosé · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| California Roots Chardonnay white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Canneto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyard Chardonnay Lake County 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Milbrandt Family Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pacific Rim Dry Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pagliarese Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Electric Bee Primitivo red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Smooth Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Angeline Rose of Pinot Noir rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Baron de Ley Semi Dulce Sauvignon Blanc Rioja 2021 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Borsao Tres Picos Red Campo de Borja 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Botani Old Vines Moscatel 2024 dessert · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bread and Butter Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Castaing Cote de Bourg Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Columbard white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Extra Dry sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Sue Lie Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.8% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Sauvignon Blanc Wine Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simple Life Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Alazany Valley Semi Sweet White Georgia 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Campo Viejo Tempranillo Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
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