Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine des Aubuisieres Vouvray Cuvee de Silex 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Fruity Red Sangria red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | 2% premium | 4% |
| Lamblin et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega El Porvenir Amauta Absoluto Cabernet Sauvignon Cafayette Salta 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafaggio Basilica del Cortaccio Cabernet Sauvignon Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Taillan Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chop Shop Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Galharda Vinho Tinto Douro red · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Hearth red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 2% premium | 3% |
| All Time Low Presents English Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arbor Mist Sangria Zinfandel red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Les Gravieres Chinon Rouge 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2022 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reggio Cantina Donpa Aglianico del Vulture 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rickshaw Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rutherford Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $46.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Shiraz 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Merlot Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Malbec red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano D'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de l'Aubrade Entre Deux Mers 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna Camurria Orange Sicilia 2024 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harvest Ridge Winery Red No 47 red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pfeffingen Scheurebe Pfalz Dry 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Post and Beam Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2024 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Southern Belle Red Blend Jumilla 2022 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ten Sisters Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Noble Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tinto Rey Estate Bottled Tempranillo Dunnigan Hills 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brick and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Castaing Cotes de Bourg Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Blatina Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Johnson Estate Lake Effect Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mad Fish Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Promesses de France Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rickshaw Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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