Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borreo Single Vineyard Sangiovese Rosa Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Krug Peter Mondavi Family Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve 2x750 mL Gift Pack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Styring Vineyards Signature Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $50.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +6% if it rises |
| Venge Vineyards Scouts Honor Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay La Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Paul Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rodney Strong Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.4% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Poggiarso Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Dedication Syrah Reserve Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Albert Morot Beaune Toussaints 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storrs Winery Pinot Noir Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Pegaso Red Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa al Cortile Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de la Croix de Pierre Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2020 white · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heidsieck and Company Monopole Blue Top Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck The Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colin Barollet Montagny Les Bouchots 1er Cru 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Herbert Beaufort Carte d'Or Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Storrs Winery Chardonnay Christie Vineyard Santa Cruz Mountain 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coizet Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Cabanne Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brick House House Red Blend Ribbon Ridge red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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